Election Day - New Orleans

Today New Orleans elects a mayor, and decides a few City Council seats. I think both candidates (incumbent C. Ray Nagin and Lt. Gov. Mitch Landrieu) are competent, but I believe the outcome will play only a small role in the future of this city. Polling on the race has been spotty and unreliable because the electorate has been dispersed. Despite being a tough race to handicap, I'm going out on a limb and predicting:

Landrieu - 58%
Nagin - 41%

I'm going to crash one of the parties tonight as well.